Analyst Todd McShay believes Texas quarterback Arch Manning will return for another college season amid an up-and-down campaign.

Entering the 2026 college football season, Texas quarterback Arch Manning carried immense expectations as a generational prospect and the projected top pick in the 2027 NFL Draft. However, after eight games of fluctuating performances, draft analyst Todd McShay predicts the legacy quarterback will forgo the upcoming draft to stay in school.

Speaking on Yahoo Sports Daily, McShay addressed the future of the 22-year-old signal-caller and whether he remains with the Texas Longhorns or transfers elsewhere. The analyst expressed support for a more aggressive playing style from Manning, emphasizing decisiveness and trust in his receivers, according to information published by bleache.

The early stretch of the season saw Manning lead the Longhorns to the number one ranking during the first four weeks. Subsequent losses to unranked opponents introduced heightened scrutiny regarding his consistency, decision-making, and ability to handle increased pressure under head coach Steve Sarkisian.

Arch Manning struggles with sacks and interceptions

The up-and-down campaign has exposed notable flaws in Manning's game as defenses adapt. Through eight games, the young quarterback has accumulated more sacks than he did across the entire 2025 season, alongside seven interceptions that already match his previous yearly total.

While offensive line injuries have plagued the Texas Longhorns, analysts note that Manning must share accountability for holding the ball too long. Head coach Steve Sarkisian even weighed potential lineup changes at the position during the team's mid-season slump.

Todd McShay evaluates quarterback future

During his media appearance, Todd McShay suggested that another year of development would benefit the draft prospect significantly. Whether that future unfolds in Austin or another program remains a central question for college football analysts and NFL scouts alike.

Despite recent setbacks, the program remains ranked number seven nationally with high-stakes matchups ahead against ranked opponents like Missouri and LSU. These games offer an immediate platform for recovery.

Texas Longhorns playoff outlook

The path forward requires precision as the team chases a national championship and navigates a narrowing margin for error. Arch Manning still holds the physical tools to silence critics if he cleans up his mechanics and decision-making under pressure.

As the schedule progresses, scouts will monitor how the young quarterback handles elite competition and whether his draft stock stabilizes before the regular season concludes.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why does Todd McShay think Arch Manning will return to school?

Todd McShay believes Arch Manning needs another year of development following an inconsistent season with the Texas Longhorns, suggesting a return to college football will benefit his long-term NFL career.

What are Arch Manning's main struggles this season?

Arch Manning has faced questions regarding his decision-making, taking a high number of sacks and throwing seven interceptions through his first eight games with the Texas Longhorns.

Where does Arch Manning play college football?

Arch Manning plays quarterback for the Texas Longhorns under head coach Steve Sarkisian, though analysts have raised questions about his long-term future with the program.